Texas · Lake fishing forecast

Lake Texoma fishing forecast today

Current conditions plus a 7-day fishing outlook for Lake Texoma, including Fishing Score, wind, pressure, clouds, rain chance and moon phase, with live USGS water observations, recent trends and long-term seasonal context where available.

8.9/10
Excellent
Current Fishing Score

Weather-based index from the inputs available right now. It is a conditions summary, not a catch prediction.

100% weather data coverageFull inputs
Air temperature
68°F
Wind
9 mph NNE
Pressure
30.17 inHg
Nearby NWS observation
Cloud cover
69%
Rain chance
30%
Moon
Last Quarter
Gusts
14 mph
Humidity
100%
Weather data updated: Oct 4, 2026, 6:06 AM CDT
Live water data

Lake Texoma USGS water conditions

Current observations with 24-hour, 7-day and recent 30-day context from the verified reference station.

Open USGS station ↗
Lake Texoma at Cumberland Cut nr Cumberland, OKUSGS-07331455 · about 20 mi from forecast point
Gage height616.86 ftUSGS 00065
Latest supported observation: Oct 4, 8:30 AM CDT30-day context is a recent median, not a long-term seasonal normal. Water readings remain display-only when a validated river-flow baseline is not available.
Plan the week

Lake Texoma 7-day fishing forecast

Compare full-day forecast Fishing Scores with wind, rain risk, pressure and temperatures for the next seven days. These daily scores are separate from the live Current Fishing Score above.

Forecast data coverageDaily weather-score coverage ranges from 54% to 72%. Cards marked Partial are missing one or more weighted inputs.
Best available weather score · partialSaturday, Oct 10 · 8.1/10
Today · full-day
Sunday, Oct 4
7.4/10
Partial
Chance Showers And Thunderstorms then Partly Sunny
82°63°
Wind8 mph NNERain58%Clouds54%Moon42%
Mon
Monday, Oct 5
7.3/10
Partial
Sunny
83°59°
Wind5 mph NERain0%Clouds6%Moon32%
Tue
Tuesday, Oct 6
5.7/10
Partial
Sunny
83°61°
Wind1 mph EClouds2%Moon22%
Wed
Wednesday, Oct 7
6.2/10
Partial
Sunny
85°62°
Wind2 mph ENEClouds9%Moon14%
Thu
Thursday, Oct 8
7.1/10
Partial
Sunny
84°64°
Wind2 mph ENERain1%Clouds17%Moon8%
Fri
Friday, Oct 9
7.6/10
Partial
Mostly Sunny
85°65°
Wind3 mph ENERain2%Clouds31%Moon3%
Sat
Saturday, Oct 10
8.1/10
Partial
Mostly Sunny
84°66°
Wind4 mph ERain7%Clouds30%Moon0%

The large Current Fishing Score above uses current conditions and, on eligible river pages, can include a conservative USGS streamflow penalty. The seven daily cards remain weather-only because this site does not predict future river flow. Cards marked “Partial” use less than 90% of the weighted weather inputs.

Lake Texoma fishing conditions overview

The current weather inputs produce an excellent weather-based Fishing Score. Moderate wind should add useful surface movement; broken to mostly cloudy skies can extend low-light feeding.

Estimated activity windows: 6:39 AM–8:54 AM and 5:38 PM–7:53 PM local time. These are dawn/dusk windows, not guaranteed bite times.

Best fishing time today: estimated windows

The first estimated window runs from 6:39 AM–8:54 AM, around sunrise at 7:24 AM. The second runs from 5:38 PM–7:53 PM, around sunset at 7:08 PM. Lower light can change visibility and fish positioning, but actual feeding periods vary by species, season and water conditions.

Lake Texoma fishing: structure, seasons and local conditions

Large Red River reservoir on the Texas–Oklahoma border, especially noted for striped bass. The forecast becomes more useful when it is read through shoreline breaks, depth changes and wind-exposed water, where depth, current or wind exposure can differ within the same location. Lake Texoma is a reservoir, so changing water level can alter how much shoreline cover, point structure and shallow habitat are usable. That makes shoreline breaks, depth changes and wind-exposed water more useful reference areas than a single lake-wide depth assumption.

The open-water season is long in Texas, but summer heat still changes where fish are comfortable. Early and late light, shade, moving water and deeper structure can become more important, while spring and fall usually offer more moderate transitions. Short cold fronts can matter even in winter, so Lake Texoma should be read through recent conditions rather than a single “best month.” Use the forecast to compare wind, cloud cover and rain risk, then decide whether shoreline breaks, depth changes and wind-exposed water fit the depth and exposure you want to fish.

Common targets at Lake Texoma include Striped bass, Largemouth bass, and Catfish. They do not use depth, current and cover in exactly the same way, so the Fishing Score remains a conditions index rather than a species-specific bite prediction. This page also has a manually mapped USGS reference station, so fresh water temperature, flow or level can be shown when that station reports a supported sensor.

What to watch in today's conditions

Wind

Current wind is about 9 mph from NNE, with gusts near 14 mph. Wind can improve surface movement on exposed banks while leaving coves and lee shorelines much calmer.

Barometric pressure

Barometric pressure is about 30.17 inHg. Pressure is one part of the Fishing Score and is read together with wind, cloud cover and precipitation.

Moon phase and light

The moon is currently in the Last Quarter phase with approximately 44% illumination. Lunar illumination has a smaller weight than the main weather factors.

Target species

Striped bassLargemouth bassCatfish

Always verify current state fishing regulations, seasons, bag limits, licensing requirements and location-specific closures before fishing.

How this forecast is calculated

The Fishing Score starts with National Weather Service weather data: pressure 28%, wind 24%, cloud cover 18%, precipitation probability 18% and lunar illumination 12%. Missing weather factors are never treated as zero; partial weather results are pulled toward a neutral 5/10 according to the missing weight. On eligible river pages, a separate conservative USGS flow check can only reduce the current score when streamflow is unusually far from the long-term seasonal median or changing rapidly. It never increases the score.

Quick answers

Lake Texoma fishing forecast FAQ

What is the Fishing Score for Lake Texoma today?

The current Fishing Score is 8.9 out of 10 with 100% weighted data coverage. The weather inputs used by the score are currently complete.

What is the best fishing time at Lake Texoma today?

The page highlights estimated low-light windows of 6:39 AM–8:54 AM and 5:38 PM–7:53 PM local time, centered around sunrise and sunset. They are planning windows, not guaranteed bite times.

What fish are commonly targeted at Lake Texoma?

Common target species listed for Lake Texoma include Striped bass, Largemouth bass, Catfish. Seasons, legal limits and local closures can change, so always verify current regulations before fishing.

What weather factors are used for Lake Texoma?

The Fishing Score uses barometric pressure and trend, wind, cloud cover, precipitation probability and moon illumination. Missing inputs are excluded rather than treated as zero.

Does this page include USGS water conditions for Lake Texoma?

Yes. This page uses the manually mapped Lake Texoma at Cumberland Cut nr Cumberland, OK reference station when fresh supported observations are available. Water temperature, streamflow or water level can appear depending on the station sensors. When approved long-term statistics are available, the page can compare the current reading with the seasonal median for the same calendar day. On river pages with at least 20 approved observations contributing to that calendar day, unusually extreme or rapidly changing flow may conservatively reduce the Fishing Score; water data never adds bonus points.