Vermont · Lake fishing forecast

Lake Champlain fishing forecast today

Current conditions plus a 7-day fishing outlook for Lake Champlain, including Fishing Score, wind, pressure, clouds, rain chance and moon phase, with live USGS water observations, recent trends and long-term seasonal context where available.

8.0/10
Good
Current Fishing Score

Weather-based index from the inputs available right now. It is a conditions summary, not a catch prediction.

100% weather data coverageFull inputs
Air temperature
68°F
Wind
16 mph S
Pressure
29.86 inHg
Nearby NWS observation
Cloud cover
48%
Rain chance
2%
Moon
Waxing Crescent
Water temp
72.5°F
USGS observation
Gusts
17 mph
Humidity
87%
Weather data updated: Aug 19, 2026, 4:25 AM EDT
Live water data

Lake Champlain water temperature and USGS water conditions

Current observations with 24-hour, 7-day, recent 30-day and long-term seasonal context from the verified reference station.

Open USGS station ↗
Lake Champlain at Burlington, VTUSGS-04294500 · about 7 mi from forecast point
Water temperature72.5°FUSGS 00010
Lake elevation94.48 ftNAVD88
Latest supported observation: Aug 19, 10:00 AM EDTSeasonal baseline uses approved USGS day-of-year statistics; 30-day context remains a separate recent median. Water readings remain display-only when a validated river-flow baseline is not available.
Plan the week

Lake Champlain 7-day fishing forecast

Compare day-level Fishing Scores with wind, rain risk, pressure and temperatures for the next seven days.

Forecast data coverageDaily weather-score coverage is 72%. NWS forecast pressure is unavailable for these periods, so the daily scores are partial.
Best available weather score · partialTuesday, Aug 25 · 8.3/10
Today
Wednesday, Aug 19
7.7/10
Partial
Partly Sunny then Chance Showers And Thunderstorms
75°62°
Wind9 mph SSWRain50%Clouds61%Moon40%
Thu
Thursday, Aug 20
8.1/10
Partial
Partly Sunny
73°60°
Wind5 mph NWRain12%Clouds56%Moon50%
Fri
Friday, Aug 21
7.7/10
Partial
Sunny
74°61°
Wind4 mph NRain1%Clouds15%Moon61%
Sat
Saturday, Aug 22
7.7/10
Partial
Mostly Sunny
77°63°
Wind9 mph SERain13%Clouds31%Moon71%
Sun
Sunday, Aug 23
7.5/10
Partial
Showers And Thunderstorms Likely
75°61°
Wind11 mph SRain70%Clouds67%Moon80%
Mon
Monday, Aug 24
7.9/10
Partial
Chance Rain Showers
72°60°
Wind9 mph WSWRain41%Clouds52%Moon88%
Tue
Tuesday, Aug 25
8.3/10
Partial
Slight Chance Rain Showers
72°61°
Wind8 mph WRain20%Clouds40%Moon94%

The large Current Fishing Score above uses current conditions and, on eligible river pages, can include a conservative USGS streamflow penalty. The seven daily cards remain weather-only because this site does not predict future river flow. Cards marked “Partial” use less than 90% of the weighted weather inputs.

Lake Champlain fishing conditions overview

The current weather inputs produce a good weather-based Fishing Score. Broken to mostly cloudy skies can extend low-light feeding.

Estimated activity windows: 5:17 AM–7:32 AM and 6:24 PM–8:39 PM local time. These are dawn/dusk windows, not guaranteed bite times.

Best fishing time today: estimated windows

The first estimated window runs from 5:17 AM–7:32 AM, around sunrise at 6:02 AM. The second runs from 6:24 PM–8:39 PM, around sunset at 7:54 PM. Lower light can change visibility and fish positioning, but actual feeding periods vary by species, season and water conditions.

Lake Champlain fishing: structure, seasons and local conditions

Large Vermont–New York lake with diverse cold- and warm-water fisheries. That physical setting is the starting point for reading today's forecast, because shoreline breaks, depth changes and wind-exposed water can react differently to wind, light and changing water conditions. Lake Champlain is not uniform from bank to bank. shoreline breaks, depth changes and wind-exposed water can place fish at different depths and levels of wind exposure even when the weather forecast is identical across the lake.

Vermont has a pronounced warm-up and cool-down cycle. Spring can pull activity toward warming shallows or current edges; midsummer often increases the value of depth, shade, current or cooler water; and fall cooling can broaden the usable zone again. Those shifts matter differently to Smallmouth bass and Lake trout, so recent conditions are more useful than assuming the same pattern all season. A lake-wide score is most useful as a filter for weather. The next decision is which of shoreline breaks, depth changes and wind-exposed water best matches the current season, light and wind direction.

Common targets at Lake Champlain include Smallmouth bass, Lake trout, and Northern pike. They do not use depth, current and cover in exactly the same way, so the Fishing Score remains a conditions index rather than a species-specific bite prediction. This page also has a manually mapped USGS reference station, so fresh water temperature, flow or level can be shown when that station reports a supported sensor.

What to watch in today's conditions

Wind

Current wind is about 16 mph from S, with gusts near 17 mph. Wind can improve surface movement on exposed banks while leaving coves and lee shorelines much calmer.

Barometric pressure

Barometric pressure is about 29.86 inHg. Pressure is one part of the Fishing Score and is read together with wind, cloud cover and precipitation.

Moon phase and light

The moon is currently in the Waxing Crescent phase with approximately 38% illumination. Lunar illumination has a smaller weight than the main weather factors.

Target species

Smallmouth bassLake troutNorthern pike

Always verify current state fishing regulations, seasons, bag limits, licensing requirements and location-specific closures before fishing.

How this forecast is calculated

The Fishing Score starts with National Weather Service weather data: pressure 28%, wind 24%, cloud cover 18%, precipitation probability 18% and lunar illumination 12%. Missing weather factors are never treated as zero; partial weather results are pulled toward a neutral 5/10 according to the missing weight. On eligible river pages, a separate conservative USGS flow check can only reduce the current score when streamflow is unusually far from the long-term seasonal median or changing rapidly. It never increases the score.

Quick answers

Lake Champlain fishing forecast FAQ

What is the Fishing Score for Lake Champlain today?

The current Fishing Score is 8.0 out of 10 with 100% weighted data coverage. The weather inputs used by the score are currently complete.

What is the best fishing time at Lake Champlain today?

The page highlights estimated low-light windows of 5:17 AM–7:32 AM and 6:24 PM–8:39 PM local time, centered around sunrise and sunset. They are planning windows, not guaranteed bite times.

What fish are commonly targeted at Lake Champlain?

Common target species listed for Lake Champlain include Smallmouth bass, Lake trout, Northern pike. Seasons, legal limits and local closures can change, so always verify current regulations before fishing.

What weather factors are used for Lake Champlain?

The Fishing Score uses barometric pressure and trend, wind, cloud cover, precipitation probability and moon illumination. Missing inputs are excluded rather than treated as zero.

Does this page include USGS water conditions for Lake Champlain?

Yes. This page uses the manually mapped Lake Champlain at Burlington, VT reference station when fresh supported observations are available. Water temperature, streamflow or water level can appear depending on the station sensors. When approved long-term statistics are available, the page can compare the current reading with the seasonal median for the same calendar day. On river pages with at least 20 approved observations contributing to that calendar day, unusually extreme or rapidly changing flow may conservatively reduce the Fishing Score; water data never adds bonus points.

What is the water temperature at Lake Champlain?

The latest supported USGS water-temperature observation shown on this page is 72.5°F from Lake Champlain at Burlington, VT. Readings older than 48 hours are not presented as current.